Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2001 - 2002 - 2003



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Josh Wolfe 12 DeKalb 16:05 #12  
2  Matt Cummins 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:07 #13  
3  Paul Perales 12 Wawasee 16:20 #29  
4  Jerad Craig 12 Northridge 16:26 #35  
5  Mark Stahl 11 DeKalb 16:27 #36  
6  Braxton Fritz 10 Northridge 16:35 #61  
7  Luke Stoffel 11 Wawasee 16:35 #62  
8  Ken Collins 10 Northridge 16:37 #67  
9  Joel Liechty 10 East Noble 16:42 #89  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 389 #15  
2  DeKalb West Noble 436 #21  
3  Wawasee Elkhart Central 505 #30  
4  West Noble West Noble 550 #37  



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.3 41 23 72 73.9 19.6 5.2 1.3
DeKalb 100.0% 2.2 51 29 86 20.2 51.1 20.6 8.2
Wawasee 100.0% 3.1 63 30 91 5.0 16.5 37.8 40.7
West Noble 100.0% 3.3 65 39 103 1.0 12.8 36.4 49.7


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Josh Wolfe DeKalb 16:05 100.0% 1.1 47.5 33.9 11.0 4.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Matt Cummins Elkhart Memorial 16:07 100.0% 1.2 42.1 31.9 13.4 6.9 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Paul Perales Wawasee 16:20 100.0% 2.9 6.7 17.1 28.5 19.4 11.4 7.7 5.6 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jerad Craig Northridge 16:26 100.0% 4.1 2.7 7.8 17.3 20.2 19.4 15.3 8.8 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mark Stahl DeKalb 16:27 100.0% 4.4 0.3 6.0 18.1 19.5 16.6 12.3 10.8 8.1 4.7 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Braxton Fritz Northridge 16:35 100.0% 6.4 0.3 1.2 3.7 8.4 12.3 17.6 18.1 15.9 9.9 5.9 3.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Luke Stoffel Wawasee 16:35 100.0% 6.5 0.1 0.8 3.4 9.8 14.6 14.3 13.8 15.4 12.4 7.5 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ken Collins Northridge 16:37 100.0% 6.9 0.2 0.8 2.1 5.4 10.5 13.8 18.2 17.8 12.9 8.2 4.6 2.6 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Joel Liechty East Noble 16:42 100.0% 8.1 0.1 0.4 2.0 4.1 6.6 9.3 11.3 14.3 17.9 13.3 9.2 5.5 2.5 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0